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Solution: 2014 Fall Final - 17

Author: Michiel Smid

Question

We choose an element $x$ uniformly at random from the set $\{1,2,3,\dots,10\}$. Define the events
  • A = "$x$ is even"
and
  • B = "$1 \leq x \leq 5$".
Which of the following is true?
(a)
The events $A$ and $B$ are independent.
(b)
The events $A$ and $B$ are not independent.
(c)
None of the above.

Solution

  • Let S = All possible outcomes
    $ |S| = 10 $
  • A occurs when we choose an even number from the set ${2, 4, 6, 8, 10}$
    $ |A| = 5 $
    $Pr(A) = \frac{5}{10} = \frac{1}{2} $
  • B occurs when we choose a number from the set ${1, 2, 3, 4, 5}$
    $ |B| = 5 $
    $Pr(B) = \frac{5}{10} = \frac{1}{2} $
  • $A \cap B$ occurs when we choose an even number from the set ${2, 4}$
    $ |A \cap B| = 2 $
    $Pr(A \cap B) = \frac{2}{10} = \frac{1}{5} $

$ Pr(A \cap B) = Pr(A) \cdot Pr(B) $

$ \frac{1}{5} = \frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{2} $

$ \frac{1}{5} = \frac{1}{4} $

Because the equation is false, these events are not independent.