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Solution: 2016 Fall Final - 22

Author: Michiel Smid

Question

You flip a fair coin 7 times; these coin flips are independent of each other. Define the random variables
  • X = the number of heads in these 7 coin flips,
and
  • Y = the number of tails in these 7 coin flips.
Which of the following is true?
(a)
None of the above.
(b)
The random variables $X$ and $Y$ are independent.
(c)
The random variables $X$ and $Y$ are not independent.

Solution

For questions like these, we can answer by checking for a value $i$ if the following is true: $ Pr(X=i \cap Y=i) = Pr(X=i) \cdot Pr(Y=i) $

  • Let's determine $ Pr(X=1) $
    The coin that's heads has a probability of $ \frac{1}{2} $
    The other 6 coins have a probability of $ \frac{1}{2} $
    $ Pr(X=1) = { left( \frac{1}{2} \right)}^1 {\left( \frac{1}{2} \right) }^6 $
    $ Pr(X=1) = \frac{1}{2^7} $
  • Let's determine $ Pr(Y=1) $
    The coin that's tails has a probability of $ \frac{1}{2} $
    The other 6 coins have a probability of $ \frac{1}{2} $
    $ Pr(Y=1) = { left( \frac{1}{2} \right) }^1 { left( \frac{1}{2} \right) }^6 $
    $ Pr(Y=1) = \frac{1}{2^7} $
  • Let's determine $ Pr(X=1 \cap Y=1) $
    If we get exactly 1 heads, then the remaining 6 coins must be tails
    but that means we can't have exactly 1 tails as well
    Since having both happen at the same time is impossible
    $ Pr(X=1 \cap Y=1) = 0 $

$ Pr(X=i \cap Y=i) = Pr(X=i) \cdot Pr(Y=i) $

$ 0 = \frac{1}{2^7} \cdot \frac{1}{2^7} $

Since the equation is false, X and Y are not independent.