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Solution: 2018 Winter Final - 23

Author: Michiel Smid

Question

Consider the following statement: For any three random variables $X$, $Y$, and $Z$,
  • $\mathbb{E}(\min(X,Y,Z)) = \min(\mathbb{E}(X), \mathbb{E}(Y), \mathbb{E}(Z))$
Which of the following is correct?
(a)
All of the above.
(b)
The statement is false.
(c)
None of the above.
(d)
The statement is true.

Solution

To prove that this statement is false, we need to provide a counterexample:

Let X, Y, Z all represent the random variables where $X, Y, Z = 1$ if a coin toss is heads and $X, Y, Z = 0$ if a coin toss is tails.

The expected value of $X, Y, Z$ in this case (as\suming that $\frac{1}{2}$ chance of hitting heads or tails) is: $E(X) = E(Y) = E(Z) = 0 \cdot \frac{1}{2} + 1 \cdot \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}$.

This means that the $min(E(X), E(Y), E(Z) = min( \frac{1}{2}, \frac{1}{2}, \frac{1}{2}) = \frac{1}{2}$ is $\frac{1}{2}$.

For the LHS, we need to calculate the expected value for $min(X, Y, Z)$. There are only two possible values in this case: $min(X, Y, Z) = 0$ and $min(X, Y, Z) = 1$

  • Pr(min(X, Y, Z) = 1) = every coin has to come up with a heads = $( \frac{1}{2})^{3} = \frac{1}{8}$
  • Pr(min(X, Y, Z) = 0) = 1 - Pr(min(X, Y, Z) = 1) = $1 - \frac{1}{8} = \frac{7}{8}$
  • $E(min(X, Y, Z)) = 0 \cdot Pr(min(X, Y, Z) = 0) + 1 \cdot Pr(min(X, Y, Z) = 1) = 0 \cdot \frac{7}{8} + 1 \cdot ( \frac{1}{8}) = \frac{1}{8}$.

Since $E(min(X, Y, Z)) = \frac{1}{8}$ and $min(E(X), E(Y), E(Z)) = \frac{1}{2}$, the two are not the same, so the statement is false.