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Solution: 2019 Fall Final - 16

Author: Michiel Smid

Question

We choose an element $x$ uniformly at random from the set $\{1,2,3,...,10\}$. Define the events
  • A = "$x$ is even",
  • B = "$x$ is divisible by 3".
What is the conditional probability $\Pr(A|B)$?
(a)
3/10
(b)
1/3
(c)
1/2
(d)
2/3

Solution

  • Let's determine $B$
    There are 3 numbers divisible by 3, which are $ { 3, 6, 9 } $: 3
    $ |B| = 3 $
  • Let's determine $A \cap B$
    There is only 1 number that is both even and divisible by 3, which is 6: 1
    $ |A \cap B| = 1 $

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$ Pr(A|B) = \frac{|A \cap B|}{|B|} = \frac{1}{3} $