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Question: 2015 Fall Final - 16

Author: Michiel Smid
You are given that:
  • The course COMP 9999 runs over a period of one year, starting on January 1 and ending on December 31. There is one lecture every day; thus, the total number of lectures is 365.
  • Dania and Nick take this course. Dania's birthday is on November 19. Nick's birthday is on December 3.
  • Professor G. Ruesome teaches the course. Professor Ruesome decides to have 20 quizzes during the year. For this, he chooses a uniformly random subset of 20 days; the quizzes will be on the 20 chosen days. (It is possible that there is a quiz on January 1.)
Determine the conditional probability $\Pr(B|C)$, where $B$ and $C$ are the events
  • B = "there is a quiz on Nick's birthday",
  • C = "there are exactly 5 quizzes in December".
(a)
5/31
(b)
5/32
(c)
4/31
(d)
4/32